Tuesday, November 5, 2013

Living History Journal

THE DEMOGRAPHIC EXPLOSIONIn Demographic explosion , Paul Kennedy analyzes social , preclude and st tempogic consequences of demographic lurchs taking place through the the three estates . Kennedy contends that the disproportionate race emersion experienced main(prenominal)ly by under developed and ontogeny African and Asian countries and by developed Western societies has created the foundation of an unprecedented future crisis The change magnitude economic disparity and an ever burgeoning area conception requires to be congested and standd with same limited and in incident quite a diminishing natural resources threatens the dry place down security and come up existence of humanity . The main hypothesis of the name is that continuous and speedy existence harvest-home is economically untenable and resource kn owing unsupportableWhile searching for the reasons and patterns associated with the population explosion in western rules of order through the magazine of industrial revolution , Kennedy also puts outstanding emphasis on the fact that most of resign and expect future offset shall occur in world s underdevelop , or less(prenominal) developed countries that are relatively naughtily equipped to provide basic acceptable living conditions , such as aliment shelter , education , health facilities and jobs to even up their present teeming hundreds of million people . Hence these countries would contain go up it beyond their capacity in meeting demands of additional millions of greedy mouths causing misery , pain , deprivation , conflict , inflammation and chaos in such societies . The article also creates an issuance that developed countries , with their negative population growth , decreasing affluence rate and an aging population structure may wring over a great in flux of immigrants from over dwell developi! ng world , causing great social , ethnical and demographic change around the worldKennedy scans through an overwhelming aggregate of information , statistical figures and information from various reputed organizations and agencies such as unify Nations , OECD and IPCC , and also analyzes economic and socio-cultural preserve theories of population growth to support his views on dangers associated with disproportionate population growth (p-18-25 p-31 .
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The article systematically reviews the historical pattern of population growth in industrial Britain and Europe , migration of Europeans to other parts of world and the consequences of the demographic diversity this migration brought forth (p-17-19 . Kennedy argues that present day Africa and many countries of Asia are experiencing same industrial and economic conditions that Europe experienced just about a century before and hence their demographic involution would get hitched with exactly same pattern , causing world population to reach 8-10 billion by year 2025 (p 18-20For the present-day(a) world , Kennedy offers factual information on significant nations as U .S , China , India , Brazil , Mexico and many African countries think to their population figures , growth rate infant mortality rate , leanness rate , population density and ground level of urbanization in context of their social , religious and economic states (p19-21 . He past compares these countries in detail with each other , as well with themselves in past and future time frames to implant the range that world has almost reached its capacity to support the impact of human population . In th is respect Kennedy refers to the high degree of envir! onmental and resource stress caused by an over-consumptive Western society...
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